Resilience Challenges and Opportunities
Identifying systemic risks and challenge domains at biosphere level
 
Opportunities cover the spectrum of human endeavor as we begin to understand and quantify the degree of interconnectedness and interdependency that exists at the biopshere level of being a complex adaptive system. The greatest single opportunity exists in the next few years to deeply and profoundly shift and transform the way in which we view ourselves, the way in which we think about our individual lives, and our connection to each other and all life on the planet. 

Examples include:

-Ethical social networks creating networks-of-networks for distributed social change and transformation
-Distributed, widespread resilience adaptive capacity building through resilient civilization knowledge centers linked to social networks
-Widespread adoption of sustainability practices
-New renewable energy production adoption at-scale
-New global economic system featuring micro-development/finance, intangible asset finance, global innovation commons, barter exchange, new transactional models
-Dramatic reduction in WMD proliferation
-Mitigation and reversal of accelerating climate change vectors

Resilience as often described can seem like a more complex form of business continuity planning, a new take on ecological sustainability, or some new mantra for leadership and personal development. Historically, all of the often described contexts for resilience were basically about the ability of people, natural complex adaptive systems or organizations to absorb and rebound from some type of external induced shock to return to some previously known operating condition.

Over time, the more advanced advocates and observers of resilience in the real world noticed that the ability to sustainably transform to a state or capability not previously known may well be the most important and interesting feature as we rush headlong into increasing complexity and a profound sense of accelerating change.

Many of the systemic challenges and opportunities that we currently face, and certainly those that on our short term horizon, will require a degree of transmutational alchemy not easily contemplated for fear of what other unanticipated changes would be provoked. Many of the systemic risks that we currently face all possess a certain "unchartered frontier" aspect also referred to as submerged risks. The unseen systemic linkages experienced in the global economic system since October 2008 provide many salient examples of the way in which tipping points can be rapidly breached and can cascade additional disruptive events across networks and systems with very little, or no warning. Events precipitated in one systemic risk domain can also cascade with no warning into other multiple risk domains creating even more intensified systemic risk linkages and causal networks of unanticipated consequence.

Human civilization is now living at the doorstep of this risk threshold with very thin adaptive capacity at the biosphere level of being a complex adaptive system. In other words, civilization has reached the tipping point of disequilibrium or unsustainability which confounds tranditional problem solving approaches. As one way to think about our species dilemma, there are no effiicient enzymes at the planetary level to properly monitor and regulate metabolic functioning of the species interacting with all other organic life at the planetary somatic whole.

When thought of in the proper context, resilience is as much about being enabled to seek out and embrace opportunities as being able to proactively manage risks or respond confidently to life altering disruptive events.

  • Global mindsets / consciousness alignment / lack of Renaissance Leadership
  • Global Climate Change
  • Water security / sustainability
  • Food security / sustainability
  • Poverty intensification
  • Health care degradation
  • H1N1 & pandemics
  • Global economic instability
  • Asymmetric warfare, terrorism
  • Weapons mass destruction proliferation
  • Transnational crime
  • Cyber warfare, information assurance
  • Critical infrastructure & resilience
  • Exoplanetary extreme events (near-earth- orbit object impact / NEO, coronal mass ejection / CME, other high energy particle bombardment)
  • Magnetic field strength erosion / reversal
  • Other Black Swan, Wild Card extreme events producing unthinkable novelty and societal disruption